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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Television / TV | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Midterm | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamala | 0% | −8 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| My father | 0% | −6 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Autopen | 0% | −5 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Scam / Fraud | 100% | +85 pts | +33 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cocaine | 0% | −4 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jimmy / Kimmel | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wall Street | 0% | −12 pts | −56 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mob / Mafia | 0% | −8 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Transgender | 100% | +23 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Daddy | 0% | −4 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Regarded | 0% | −3 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Train | 0% | −4 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| President Xi | 100% | +17 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Six Seven | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ruckus | 0% | −9 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Uncle | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 159d | Trustinghorse | Mob / Mafia | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,305 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 159d | Hidden-Grandma | Scam / Fraud | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,056 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 164d | d-flow | Midterm | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,314 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 164d |  CosmicCedar | Midterm | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,565 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 165d | Trustinghorse4 fills | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,721 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 165d | Trustinghorse3 fills | Television / TV | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,780 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 165d |  BlondBeast | Television / TV | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 165d | yougotme | Television / TV | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,600 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for AI / Artificial Intelligence means the market gives it about 100%.