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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| by September 30, 2027 | 65% | +2 pts | −3 pts | 62¢ · 68¢ (6¢) | — | in 349d |
| by December 31, 2027 | 69% | +3 pts | −10 pts | 68¢ · 70¢ (2¢) | — | in 441d |
| by June 30, 2027 | 53% | — | −5 pts | 50¢ · 56¢ (6¢) | — | in 257d |
| by March 31, 2027 | 41% | −2 pts | −10 pts | 39¢ · 43¢ (4¢) | — | in 166d |
| by December 31, 2026 | 22% | −2 pts | −7 pts | 20¢ · 23¢ (3¢) | $252 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | 0xf705…3ca73 fills | by December 31, 2026 | BuyNo68¢ → 79¢ | $4,979 | +$785 +16% | 7 |
| 9d |  justdance2 fills | by December 31, 2026 | BuyNo66¢ → 79¢ | $4,746 | +$888 +19% | 7 |
| 9d | Tokor | by December 31, 2026 | BuyNo65¢ → 79¢ | $2,170 | +$451 +21% | 7 |
| 20d | justdance | by December 31, 2026 | BuyYes35¢ → 22¢ | $1,012 | −$390 −39% | 7 |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $100,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 65¢ for by September 30, 2027 means the market gives it about 65%.
