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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| by December 31, 2026 | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| by December 31, 2027 | 21% | −1 pts | −11 pts | 20¢ · 22¢ (2¢) | — | in 441d |
| by June 30, 2027 | 13% | — | −1 pts | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | — | in 257d |
| by September 30, 2027 | 18% | −1 pts | +2 pts | 16¢ · 20¢ (4¢) | — | in 349d |
| by March 31, 2027 | 4% | — | −5 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | — | in 166d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15d | adrtyyy7 | by December 31, 2026 | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,300 | −$8 −0.6% | 2 |
| 25d | hln2140 | by December 31, 2026 | SellNo97¢ | $7,897 | −$28 −0.4% | — |
| 31d |  Fresh-Laundry | by December 31, 2026 | SellNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,155 | +$11 +1.0% | — |
| 50d | herbertdudu | by December 31, 2027 | BuyNo73¢ → 79¢ | $4,853 | +$365 +7.5% | 2 |
| 54d | commentatordp | by December 31, 2026 | SellNo96¢ → 97¢ | $1,921 | −$18 −0.9% | — |
| 58d | 0xf705…3ca7 | by December 31, 2026 | SellNo98¢ → 97¢ | $5,177 | +$50 +1.0% | — |
| 58d | Flatten9696 | by December 31, 2026 | SellNo99¢ → 97¢ | $2,575 | +$40 +1.6% | — |
| 70d | HAOI | by December 31, 2026 | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $2,778 | +$22 +0.8% | 2 |
| 75d | oranginapol | by December 31, 2026 | SellNo97¢ | $1,006 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 82d | oegdatam2 fills | by December 31, 2026 | BuyNo94¢ → 97¢ | $8,012 | +$233 +2.9% | 2 |
| 84d | newbie77 | by December 31, 2026 | SellNo97¢ | $1,343 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 85d | Jfownsk | by December 31, 2026 | SellNo97¢ | $2,444 | −$16 −0.7% | — |
| 85d | iraa3 | by December 31, 2026 | SellNo97¢ | $3,091 | −$20 −0.7% | — |
| 87d | datamint | by December 31, 2026 | BuyNo97¢ | $2,414 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 |
| 88d | 0xf705…3ca75 fills | by December 31, 2026 | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $17,252 | +$127 +0.7% | 2 |
| 93d | hln21402 fills | by December 31, 2026 | BuyNo97¢ | $7,900 | +$25 +0.3% | 2 |
| 94d | Predictoooooor | by December 31, 2026 | SellNo96¢ → 97¢ | $3,414 | −$52 −1.5% | — |
| 107d | 19youeryeang | by December 31, 2026 | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $2,412 | +$31 +1.3% | 2 |
| 110d | Theonlyone8 fills | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $95,484 | +$278 +0.3% | 2 |
| 110d | sharrdio23 fills | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $240,098 | +$434 +0.2% | 2 |
| 112d | axissigma | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,007 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 112d | axissigma | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,342 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | sharrdio | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,626 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 113d | Questionable-Pineapple | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,684 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 114d | PigTheBilu2 fills | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,787 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 114d | iraa3 | by December 31, 2026 | BuyNo95¢ → 97¢ | $3,042 | +$70 +2.3% | 2 |
| 114d | Davorios4 fills | by December 31, 2026 | SellNo95¢ → 97¢ | $8,551 | −$221 −2.6% | — |
| 115d | nzhe3nyue7062 fills | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,691 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 115d | yu89yu695 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,571 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 115d | pmbull | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 115d | Shardio12 fills | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $236,492 | +$404 +0.2% | 2 |
| 116d | liqiyuan52468 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,701 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 116d | lianyuru91455 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,661 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 116d | nziyi78ng689 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,452 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 116d | ngn2an735 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,601 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 116d | xuy12ijun727 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $8,750 | −$18 −0.2% | — |
| 116d | ez1ijun715 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $8,556 | −$17 −0.2% | — |
| 116d | xuy12ijun727 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,759 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 116d | ez1ijun715 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,564 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 116d | en22gquan703 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $8,693 | −$17 −0.2% | — |
| 116d | i4ncu1n6912 fills | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $8,553 | −$17 −0.2% | — |
| 117d | en22gquan703 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,701 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 117d | i4ncu1n691 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,561 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 117d | lionshiba530 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,080 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 117d | yaoy87ing685 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $8,584 | −$17 −0.2% | — |
| 117d | nho12nhan674 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $8,553 | −$17 −0.2% | — |
| 117d | chuzhihong88769 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $8,686 | −$17 −0.2% | — |
| 117d | chencuikun86987 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $8,693 | −$17 −0.2% | — |
| 118d | Davorios3 fills | by December 31, 2026 | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $8,637 | +$136 +1.6% | 2 |
| 118d | balila | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,249 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 118d | Polymah | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,424 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 118d | chuzhihong88769 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,694 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 118d | chencuikun86987 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,701 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 118d | yaoy87ing685 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,592 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 118d | nho12nhan674 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,561 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 118d | every18girl | by December 31, 2026 | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $1,736 | +$21 +1.2% | 2 |
| 118d | anm47eij622 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $8,573 | −$17 −0.2% | — |
| 118d | angy78iting630 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $8,792 | −$18 −0.2% | — |
| 118d | the5season | by December 31, 2026 | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $1,105 | +$13 +1.2% | 2 |
| 118d | kingfisher004 | by December 31, 2026 | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $1,181 | +$14 +1.2% | 2 |
smolbrain0x14,874 sharesWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for by December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 3%.