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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| by December 31, 2026 | 35% | −2 pts | −13 pts | 33¢ · 37¢ (4¢) | — | in 76d |
| by September 30, 2027 | 67% | −2 pts | −8 pts | 66¢ · 68¢ (2¢) | — | in 349d |
| by March 31, 2027 | 53% | −1 pts | −13 pts | 48¢ · 57¢ (9¢) | — | in 166d |
| by June 30, 2027 | 64% | −2 pts | −9 pts | 62¢ · 65¢ (3¢) | — | in 257d |
| by December 31, 2027 | 71% | +2 pts | −19 pts | 70¢ · 72¢ (2¢) | — | in 441d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27d | 0xf705…3ca7 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,560 | +$440 +28% | 2 |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $3,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 35¢ for by December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 35%.
