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Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 31 | 100% | +96 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| January 12 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 19 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 26 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 623d |  YourPresident | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,102 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 623d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,873 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 623d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,280 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 623d |  flexo2 fills | January 31 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $4,787 | +$586 +12% | 20 |
| 623d | aboss | January 31 | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,500 +50% | 20 |
| 623d | Kelk34 | January 31 | BuyYes27¢ → 100¢ | $2,740 | +$7,260 +265% | 24 |
| 624d | yaya5518 | January 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $1,395 | −$1,395 −100% | 20 |
| 625d | Monster24 | January 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 0¢ | $4,353 | −$4,353 −100% | 20 |
| 626d |  stauffen | January 31 | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,099 | −$1,099 −100% | 20 |
| 628d | aviato | January 26 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,864 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 628d |  BeneGesseritVoice | January 26 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 629d | Acrobatic-Longboat | January 31 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | +$451 +44% | 23 |
| 630d | Laresgoiti | January 31 | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $3,559 | −$1,761 −49% | — |
| 630d |  KimJonEn | January 26 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,737 | +$26 +0.5% | 20 |
| 631d | KrackenSruster | January 26 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,125 | −$87 −4.1% | — |
| 631d |  mr.ozi | January 31 | SellNo30¢ → 0¢ | $1,491 | +$1,491 +100% | — |
| 632d | jansci | January 26 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,343 | +$27 +2.0% | 20 |
| 632d | HLB-3772 fills | January 26 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,350 | +$397 +6.3% | 20 |
| 633d |  ComeBackOrBust | January 31 | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 20 |
| 635d |  chensoft2 fills | January 19 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,362 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 635d | abeautifulmind | January 19 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,915 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 636d |  Slowroasted | January 19 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,983 | +$16 +0.4% | 20 |
| 636d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | January 19 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,376 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 636d |  Player456 | January 19 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,437 | −$58 −0.9% | — |
| 638d | PGvWyy1cDV | January 26 | SellNo51¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | −$980 −96% | — |
| 638d | HLB-377 | January 31 | SellNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,084 | +$1,084 +100% | — |
| 639d | pekingmen2 fills | January 19 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,324 | +$48 +1.1% | 20 |
| 639d | SeeAndHear | January 26 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | +$174 +12% | 20 |
| 640d | Player4562 fills | January 19 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,345 | +$238 +5.5% | 20 |
| 640d | rhay | January 19 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | −$29 −2.7% | — |
| 641d | just read the instructions | January 26 | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $1,053 | −$1,053 −100% | 20 |
| 641d | PGvWyy1cDV2 fills | January 26 | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $2,535 | +$2,096 +83% | 20 |
| 641d | PGvWyy1cDV | January 19 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | −$40 −3.5% | — |
| 642d | Cryp | January 19 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,343 | +$159 +4.8% | 20 |
| 642d | Hashbrown | January 19 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,184 | +$116 +5.3% | 20 |
| 642d | rhay | January 19 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$55 +5.2% | 20 |
| 642d | PGvWyy1cDV | January 19 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$73 +6.5% | 20 |
| 642d | ciaoblaster | January 31 | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 21 |
| 642d | chensoft | January 19 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$222 +11% | 20 |
| 643d | MBAguy | January 19 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,705 | +$447 +12% | 20 |
| 643d | Bink_7 | January 31 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $2,840 | +$1,230 +43% | 20 |
| 643d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | January 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,829 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 643d |  esports095 | January 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,919 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 643d | Nahhhhhh | January 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,251 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 643d | esgxcb | January 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,799 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 643d | fgnmsfgn | January 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,801 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 643d | t7lfgj | January 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,799 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 643d | setrjryik | January 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,801 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 643d | sdftgjmgm | January 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,799 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 643d | sdfhsdfre | January 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,801 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 643d | SeeAndHear | January 19 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,806 | +$116 +6.4% | 22 |
| 643d | sepsat | January 19 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,993 | +$151 +7.6% | 22 |
| 643d | mr.ozi | January 19 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,644 | +$356 +13% | 23 |
| 644d | Critical-Interviewer | January 31 | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $1,183 | −$1,183 −100% | 28 |
| 644d |  MACDNOTWORKING | January 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,658 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 644d | drac0nian | January 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,426 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 644d |  🍝👹 | January 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,822 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 644d |  🔥DumfuqDecrap🔥CHEATSatWORDLE🔥 | January 12 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,480 | +$7 +0.5% | 20 |
| 646d |  Wloczega | January 19 | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,074 | −$426 −21% | — |
| 646d | Wloczega2 fills | January 19 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $3,132 | +$656 +21% | 21 |
This is a market on predicting the date when the Palisades fire will be fully contained.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for January 31 means the market gives it about 100%.