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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jill Stein | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| RFK Jr. | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chase Oliver | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cornel West | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vermin Supreme | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 668d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Jill Stein | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,060 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 668d |  Dropper2 fills | Jill Stein | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,067 | +$55 +0.3% | 10 |
| 668d | Dropper | RFK Jr. | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,651 | +$23 +0.2% | 10 |
| 668d |  Apsalar | Chase Oliver | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,869 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 668d | Apsalar | Vermin Supreme | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,728 | +$9 +0.1% | 10 |
| 668d | Apsalar | Cornel West | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,900 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 |
| 668d |  Master-bettor | Vermin Supreme | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,104 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 670d |  zalkida | Jill Stein | BuyYes100¢ | $1,819 | +$9 +0.5% | 10 |
| 671d | 56777 | Jill Stein | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | +$6 +0.5% | 10 |
| 671d | Jealous-Upgrade | RFK Jr. | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,019 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 681d | Cooperative-Takeover3 fills | Jill Stein | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,742 | +$44 +0.9% | 10 |
| 682d |  beigesun | Jill Stein | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,544 | +$32 +2.0% | 10 |
| 691d | GhostPaper | Jill Stein | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,925 | −$75 −3.9% | — |
| 691d | MaxShorter | Jill Stein | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | −$38 −3.8% | — |
| 695d | Acidic-Safeguard | RFK Jr. | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,474 | −$111 −3.2% | — |
| 696d |  Wickier | RFK Jr. | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | −$44 −3.2% | — |
| 697d | Wickier | RFK Jr. | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,345 | +$74 +5.5% | 10 |
| 698d |  PropheticFire2 fills | Chase Oliver | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,300 | −$38 −0.9% | — |
| 700d | Acidic-Safeguard | RFK Jr. | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$255 +5.1% | 11 |
| 701d | Throcko1540 | Jill Stein | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,661 | −$504 −19% | — |
| 702d | KennyM | Jill Stein | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$48 +4.4% | 10 |
| 704d | polytrader101 | Jill Stein | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,582 | −$510 −11% | — |
| 704d | Throcko1540 | Jill Stein | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,092 | +$73 +2.4% | 10 |
| 705d |  50Whence | RFK Jr. | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | +$43 +4.2% | 10 |
| 707d | alau1218 | Jill Stein | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,357 | −$132 −9.7% | — |
| 707d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | RFK Jr. | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | +$264 +20% | 10 |
| 709d | Apsalar | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,449 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 710d | polytrader101 | Jill Stein | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,033 | +$59 +1.2% | 10 |
| 713d | PropheticFire3 fills | Chase Oliver | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $3,116 | +$1,507 +48% | 12 |
| 713d |  WindWalk3 | Vermin Supreme | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 714d |  NERA | RFK Jr. | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$420 +39% | 12 |
| 715d | Bink_72 fills | Jill Stein | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $4,456 | −$4,456 −100% | 12 |
| 715d | PropheticFire | RFK Jr. | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$560 +39% | 12 |
| 715d | PropheticFire | Jill Stein | BuyYes34¢ → 100¢ | $4,394 | +$8,555 +195% | 17 |
| 716d | WindWalk3 | Cornel West | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,326 | +$14 +1.0% | 10 |
This is a negrisk market group over which 3rd party candidate in the 2024 US Presidential election will win the greatest number of votes.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Jill Stein means the market gives it about 100%.