Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is the market on the relative change (%) of the USD prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum in the month of December 2021. The change of prices will be calculated by dividing the price dated 1 January 2022 (ET) by the price dated 1 December 2021, ie: ΔB = [BTC/USD price on January 1, 2022] / [BTC/USD price on December 1, 2021] ΔE = [ETH/USD price on January 1, 2022] / [ETH/USD price on December 1, 2021] If, after the resolution time (January 1st, 2022), ΔB is greater than ΔE, this market will resolve to "Bitcoin". If, after the resolution time (January 1st, 2022), ΔE is greater than ΔB, this market will resolve to "Ethereum". If they are exactly equal then the market will resolve 50/50. ---------------------- To resolve the market, Coingecko's historical daily prices will be used and can be seen under "Historical Data" tab on the following sites: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin/historical_data/usd#panel https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum/historical_data/usd#panel ) This market will resolve on the December 31 2021 Close price, which will be the same as January 1 2022 Open price. Note also, that the daily open price refers to 30-min candlestick open price at 12 AM in the UTC+0 Time Zone and is also used in the "1y" line chart view. ---------------------- The opening prices for December 1st were: Bitcoin: $57,011 Ethereum: $4,637.12
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: >99¢ for Yes means the market gives it about >99%.