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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloc Québécois | 100% | +1 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Conservative Party | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liberal Party | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| New Democratic Party | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Green Party | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| People's Party | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 535d |  Flipadelphia | Bloc Québécois | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,209 | +$19 +0.1% | 10 |
| 535d |  beibeidabest | Bloc Québécois | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,451 | +$16 +0.1% | 10 |
| 536d | 23432123322 fills | Bloc Québécois | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,369 | −$31 −1.3% | — |
| 536d | 0330330337 fills | Liberal Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $364,214 | +$440 +0.1% | 10 |
| 536d |  syncope | Bloc Québécois | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,747 | +$18 +1.0% | 10 |
| 536d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA2 fills | Green Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,785 | +$34 +0.2% | 10 |
| 536d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA2 fills | Liberal Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,983 | +$17 +0.1% | 10 |
| 536d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA2 fills | People's Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,882 | +$13 +0.1% | 10 |
| 536d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Conservative Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,814 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 540d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Bloc Québécois | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,664 | +$236 +4.2% | 10 |
| 541d |  scottilicious | Bloc Québécois | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,926 | +$259 +5.3% | 10 |
| 542d | 2343212332 | Bloc Québécois | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | +$66 +6.4% | 10 |
| 542d |  PaeniscusBit | People's Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,911 | +$6 +0.3% | 10 |
| 542d | cigarettes3 fills | Liberal Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,645 | +$28 +0.4% | 10 |
| 542d | cigarettes3 fills | Green Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,659 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 542d |  gopfan22 fills | Bloc Québécois | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $8,196 | +$874 +11% | 11 |
| 543d | Chanway | Green Party | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,538 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 543d | Chanway | Green Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,547 | +$6 +0.4% | 10 |
| 546d | Melody626 | Bloc Québécois | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,916 | +$436 +15% | 10 |
| 547d | Gennedy | Bloc Québécois | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,914 | −$637 −16% | — |
| 547d |  taut-dogwood | Liberal Party | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | +$9 +0.6% | 10 |
| 549d |  PaeniscusKyu | Liberal Party | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,787 | +$34 +1.2% | 10 |
| 557d | cigarettes2 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,606 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 |
| 557d | cigarettes2 fills | People's Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,606 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 |
| 557d | wokerjoesleeper | Bloc Québécois | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,158 | −$267 −12% | — |
| 557d | gopfan2 | New Democratic Party | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,089 | −$1,089 −100% | 11 |
| 560d |  mountaindewd | Bloc Québécois | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,830 | −$280 −9.9% | — |
| 560d | jacoby | People's Party | SellNo>99¢ | $1,437 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 561d | lemonorange | Conservative Party | SellNo>99¢ | $1,003 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 561d | lemonorange | Conservative Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,004 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 561d | cutiecucumber | Conservative Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,004 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 561d | basket-6615 fills | Conservative Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,021 | +$10 +0.2% | 10 |
| 561d | fellgood5 fills | Conservative Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,021 | +$10 +0.2% | 10 |
| 561d | drugmedicine2 fills | Conservative Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,009 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 561d | noplace2 fills | Conservative Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,010 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 561d | noplace | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $1,003 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 561d | drugmedicine | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $1,003 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 561d | drugmedicine4 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,016 | +$8 +0.2% | 10 |
| 561d | noplace4 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,016 | +$8 +0.2% | 10 |
| 561d | insides6 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,024 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 561d | bigletter6 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,024 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 561d | notease7 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,028 | +$14 +0.2% | 10 |
| 561d | whatmakes7 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,028 | +$14 +0.2% | 10 |
| 561d | eventhealthy6 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,024 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 561d | drillskill6 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,024 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 561d | jacoby | People's Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,439 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 563d | nosehigh6 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,029 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 563d | unconfor6 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,029 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 563d | painstart6 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,029 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 563d | letterofluck6 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,029 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 563d | nofiding8 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,065 | +$15 +0.2% | 10 |
| 563d | writeletter8 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,063 | +$16 +0.2% | 10 |
| 563d | nofiding | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $1,007 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 563d | takeoff6 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,051 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 563d | concent6 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,051 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 563d | gundam5 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,043 | +$10 +0.2% | 10 |
| 563d | havepluspp5 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,046 | +$8 +0.2% | 10 |
| 563d | havepluspp | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $1,009 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 563d | cigarettes | Conservative Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,638 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 564d |  Cajetan3 fills | New Democratic Party | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,320 | +$232 +7.0% | 10 |
TimeTraveler853 sharesThe next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to according to the party that wins the third most seats in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. If voting in the next Canadian general election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the third most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Bloc Québécois means the market gives it about 100%.