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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Party | 100% | +1 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Conservative Party | 0% | 0 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| New Democratic Party | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 535d | upp | Liberal Party | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,143 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 536d | cigarettes2 fills | New Democratic Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,606 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 537d |  Cajetan | New Democratic Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,260 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 538d |  sigh | Liberal Party | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$79 +7.5% | 12 |
| 540d | cigarettes2 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,944 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 541d | BlackPeopleDontRecycle | Liberal Party | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$37 +3.7% | 10 |
| 541d | wokerjoesleeper | Liberal Party | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | −$59 −5.2% | — |
| 541d | wubddh | Liberal Party | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,993 | +$219 +5.5% | 10 |
| 543d | NenadDrift | New Democratic Party | SellNo>99¢ | $1,946 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 544d | NenadDrift | New Democratic Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,948 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 544d | pantomime | Liberal Party | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,847 | +$140 +7.6% | 10 |
| 547d | RowdyTellezMVP | Liberal Party | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | +$94 +8.5% | 10 |
The 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the most seats in the House of Commons in Prince Edward Island as a result of the next Canadian general election. If voting in the next Canadian general election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won in Prince Edward Island, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Liberal Party means the market gives it about 100%.