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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt | 0% | −6 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iowa State | 0% | — | +8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michigan | 100% | 0 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Arizona | 100% | +1 pts | +10 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| UConn | 0% | — | +22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Duke | 100% | −23 pts | −19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Purdue | 0% | — | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gonzaga | 0% | 0 pts | −41 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Houston | 0% | — | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michigan State | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| BYU | 0% | 0 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| North Carolina | 0% | −2 pts | +38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nebraska | 0% | +1 pts | +41 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Louisville | 0% | −28 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alabama | 0% | — | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Texas Tech | 0% | 0 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kansas | 0% | — | +3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arkansas | 0% | +3 pts | +3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Illinois | 0% | — | +20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tennessee | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215d | Gonzaga | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,332 | +$16 +1.2% | 4 | |
| 222d | BYU | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,627 | +$59 +3.6% | 4 | |
| 223d | Breezy-Entrance | Nebraska | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | +$11 +0.9% | 4 |
| 223d | Breezy-Entrance | Vanderbilt | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,293 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 223d | Breezy-Entrance | Arizona | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | +$15 +1.4% | 4 |
| 223d | Breezy-Entrance | Michigan | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
The seedings and bracket for the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament are scheduled to be selected on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team earns a number 1 seed in the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament is canceled, or the number 1 seeds are not definitively known by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (ncaa.com).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Vanderbilt means the market gives it about 0%.