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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylie Jenner | 100% | +25 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Donald Trump | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Taylor Swift | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Travis Kelce | 0% | −23 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Blake Lively | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ryan Reynolds | 0% | −48 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kanye West | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 593d |  Bertapotamous | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,659 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 593d |  figman | Kylie Jenner | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 594d |  AiBets | Kylie Jenner | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,153 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 594d | Ericm4cm | Ryan Reynolds | SellYes80¢ → 0¢ | $1,026 | +$1,026 +100% | — |
| 594d | Maudesl | Ryan Reynolds | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | +$395 +33% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 97th Academy Awards, scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Attending the event is defined as being physically present at either the official red carpet or inside the venue during the awards ceremony. Attendance at afterparties or other related events without being present at the red carpet or ceremony will not count. If the ceremony is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kylie Jenner means the market gives it about 100%.