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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Clinton | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Any sitting US congressman | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Donald Trump | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Prince Andrew | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Bill Gates | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Piers Morgan | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 960d |  truthteller | Any sitting US congressman | BuyNo100¢ | $1,289 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 1004d | truthteller | Bill Gates | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,919 | +$81 +4.2% | 20 |
| 1010d | StatisticalMan | Bill Gates | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | +$116 +11% | 20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Bill Clinton means the market gives it about 100%.