Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBF | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Donald Trump | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jim Biden | 100% | +57 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liz Cheney | 100% | +68 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fauci | 100% | +64 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ross Ulbricht | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Diddy | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hillary Clinton | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Adam Schiff | 100% | +72 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Julian Assange | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Edward Snowden | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Adam Kinzinger | 100% | +77 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 634d | bbqdumplings | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $8,516 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 634d |  elmcap24 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $55,956 | +$355 +0.6% | 20 |
| 634d |  J3HN2 fills | Jim Biden | SellYes>99¢ | $4,552 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 634d | nomnomcat | SBF | SellNo>99¢ | $1,256 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 634d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | Jim Biden | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,682 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d | lineth | Jim Biden | SellYes>99¢ | $3,872 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 634d |  scrooge3 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,956 | +$26 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d | 0xd49c…8150 | Jim Biden | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,634 | +$23 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d | Xgs | Jim Biden | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,693 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d | MyNameIsDarkKnight4 fills | SBF | BuyNo>99¢ | $190,917 | +$307 +0.2% | 20 |
| 634d |  sleepy-panda | Jim Biden | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d |  SantaBaby2 fills | Jim Biden | SellYes>99¢ | $11,234 | −$38 −0.3% | — |
| 634d | Aggravatingbet | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $1,109 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 634d | MyNameIsDarkKnight | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,186 | +$15 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d | TheRealOne-533 | Jim Biden | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d | MickeyMouse | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d | MyNameIsDarkKnight | Ross Ulbricht | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,861 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d | TheRealOne-533 | SBF | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d | TheRealOne-533 | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d | mausman4 | SBF | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,083 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d |  FrancisSP8 | Ross Ulbricht | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$41 +4.1% | 20 |
| 634d | polyproguy | Jim Biden | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,885 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 634d |  KimJonEn3 fills | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $8,678 | −$23 −0.3% | — |
| 634d | MyNameIsDarkKnight | Adam Schiff | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,180 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d | MyNameIsDarkKnight | Adam Kinzinger | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,194 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d | MyNameIsDarkKnight | Liz Cheney | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,146 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d | polyproguy | SBF | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,496 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 634d | sct2 | SBF | SellNo>99¢ | $2,092 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 634d | Nowhere-Man | Jim Biden | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 634d | Nowhere-Man | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d |  JP97 | Liz Cheney | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,022 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d | Ptolemyii | Jim Biden | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,830 | −$93 −0.9% | — |
| 634d |  scottilicious | Ross Ulbricht | SellNo>99¢ | $5,583 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 634d | jawnny | Jim Biden | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,767 | −$18 −0.7% | — |
| 634d | DKK185 | Jim Biden | SellYes>99¢ | $1,991 | −$9 −0.5% | — |
| 634d | Happy-Go-Lucky-Flood | Hillary Clinton | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,526 | −$11 −0.7% | — |
| 634d | scrooge | Edward Snowden | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,729 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 634d | scrooge | SBF | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,485 | +$15 +0.2% | 20 |
| 634d |  kingsirpredictionconnoisseur | SBF | SellNo>99¢ | $1,102 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 634d | Ratales2 fills | Jim Biden | SellYes>99¢ | $4,479 | −$21 −0.5% | — |
| 634d | Amazing-Savory2 fills | SBF | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $23,765 | −$235 −1.0% | — |
| 634d | Amazing-Savory2 fills | Donald Trump | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,125 | −$81 −1.3% | — |
| 634d |  ittgnito | Liz Cheney | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d | valmier | Liz Cheney | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,098 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d | Vilgefortz | Julian Assange | SellNo>99¢ | $8,944 | −$36 −0.4% | — |
| 634d |  Rasalgethi | Liz Cheney | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d |  beigesun | Liz Cheney | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,098 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d |  fElon | Jim Biden | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,991 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 634d |  uncleroger | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,989 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 634d | CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente4 fills | SBF | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,028 | +$255 +2.0% | 21 |
| 634d |  SimpSauce | Jim Biden | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,325 | −$12 −0.9% | — |
| 634d | elmcap2 | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,622 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 634d | CantBelieveItsNotBetter | Jim Biden | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,851 | −$134 −1.1% | — |
| 634d | TugaDutch | Jim Biden | SellYes>99¢ | $1,328 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 634d |  ARudeEgg | Adam Kinzinger | SellYes>99¢ | $1,246 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 634d | SaylorMoon2 fills | SBF | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,056 | +$148 +1.8% | 20 |
| 634d | FauciForPrison | Jim Biden | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,842 | −$15 −0.8% | — |
| 634d |  TriaKube | Liz Cheney | SellYes>99¢ | $2,424 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 634d | mitraa | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,992 | +$28 +0.7% | 20 |
| 634d | abeautifulmind | Adam Kinzinger | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,774 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
TriaKube76,936 sharesThis is a market on predicting which individuals President Biden will grant pardons to.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for SBF means the market gives it about 0%.