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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Gentner Drummond | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 16d |
| Matt Pinnell | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 16d |
| Kevin Hern | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 16d |
| Stephanie Bice | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 16d |
| Kevin Stitt | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 16d |
| Charles McCall | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 16d |
| Ryan Walters | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 16d |
| None Before Midterm Election | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 16d |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 16d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207d |  Cloverince | Matt Pinnell | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,399 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 207d |  OraculumNobius2 fills | Charles McCall | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,120 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 207d | OraculumNobius | Matt Pinnell | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,097 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 207d | OraculumNobius | Kevin Hern | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,801 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 207d | OraculumNobius | Stephanie Bice | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,554 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 207d | OraculumNobius2 fills | Kevin Stitt | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,901 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 207d | OraculumNobius2 fills | Ryan Walters | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 207d |  TheAugur2 fills | Gentner Drummond | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,005 | +$16 +0.2% | 4 |
| 207d | TheAugur | Kevin Hern | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,322 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 207d | TheAugur2 fills | Stephanie Bice | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,007 | +$18 +0.3% | 4 |
| 207d | TheAugur | Charles McCall | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,743 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 207d | TheAugur | Ryan Walters | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,792 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 207d | TheAugur | Kevin Stitt | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,375 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 207d | TheAugur | Matt Pinnell | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | +$7 +0.6% | 4 |
| 207d |  bernardbulletin | Matt Pinnell | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | +$13 +1.1% | 4 |
| 207d | bernardbulletin | Charles McCall | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,790 | +$28 +1.0% | 4 |
On March 5, 2026, Donald Trump announced that the United States Senator from Oklahoma, Markwayne Mullin, will be appointed to replace Kristi Noem as United States Secretary of Homeland Security. This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of Oklahoma, or otherwise formally selected according the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Markwayne Mullin’s seat as United States Senator from Oklahoma. Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count. If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.” Additionally, if, prior to November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a widespread consensus of credible reporting indicates that Markwayne Mullin will complete his term as United States Senator (e.g. if Mullin’s nomination as Secretary of Homeland Security is rejected or withdrawn and he announces he will complete his term), this market will resolve immediately to “None Before Midterm Election.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Oklahoma; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Other means the market gives it about 100%.