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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 738d | mizu | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance>99¢ | $3,539 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 738d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance93¢ → 100¢ | $14,016 | −$984 −7.0% | — | |
| 738d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance>99¢ | $17,767 | +$18 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 738d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance>99¢ | $1,040 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 738d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance>99¢ | $7,193 | −$14 −0.2% | — | |
| 738d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance>99¢ | $1,446 | −$3 −0.2% | — | |
| 738d | WAVE | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance>99¢ | $1,573 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 738d | Horrible-Human | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance>99¢ | $11,579 | −$23 −0.2% | — |
| 738d | bullschm1dt | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance>99¢ | $3,293 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 738d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA3 fills | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance96¢ → 100¢ | $5,889 | +$252 +4.3% | 10 |
| 738d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance96¢ → 100¢ | $9,563 | +$432 +4.5% | 10 | |
| 738d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | −$30 −1.0% | — | |
| 738d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance99¢ → 100¢ | $2,463 | +$25 +1.0% | 10 | |
| 738d | H27JA4 fills | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance66¢ → 100¢ | $6,650 | +$3,378 +51% | 10 |
| 738d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance95¢ → 100¢ | $4,094 | −$208 −5.1% | — | |
| 738d | BB99 | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance98¢ → 100¢ | $2,873 | −$68 −2.4% | — |
| 738d | RykerKamp3 fills | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance72¢ → 100¢ | $4,470 | +$1,747 +39% | 10 |
| 738d | AntonasGuoga | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance97¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | −$32 −2.7% | — |
| 739d | Edgeguy5052 fills | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance96¢ → 100¢ | $3,442 | −$157 −4.6% | — |
| 739d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance55¢ → 100¢ | $3,200 | +$2,671 +83% | 10 | |
| 739d | ohooho | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance93¢ → 100¢ | $2,009 | −$151 −7.5% | — |
| 739d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance94¢ → 100¢ | $2,152 | +$149 +6.9% | 10 | |
| 739d | trenchlord | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance89¢ → 100¢ | $1,246 | −$154 −12% | — |
| 739d | heroin | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance83¢ → 100¢ | $4,671 | −$929 −20% | — |
| 740d | 0xBobbyAxelrod | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance86¢ → 100¢ | $1,307 | −$212 −16% | — |
| 740d | ohooho | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance95¢ → 100¢ | $2,649 | +$134 +5.0% | 10 |
| 740d | duckduck | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance80¢ → 100¢ | $1,629 | +$407 +25% | 10 |
| 740d | x00000000001 | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance78¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | −$340 −29% | — |
| 741d | pentakhil | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance70¢ → 100¢ | $1,625 | −$682 −42% | — |
| 741d | Horrible-Human | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance81¢ → 100¢ | $9,467 | +$2,221 +23% | 10 |
| 742d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellWalz17¢ → 0¢ | $1,649 | +$1,649 +100% | — | |
| 742d | Scott81535 fills | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance68¢ → 100¢ | $9,719 | +$4,629 +48% | 10 |
| 742d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance75¢ → 100¢ | $1,968 | −$648 −33% | — | |
| 742d | weeeee6 fills | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance64¢ → 100¢ | $13,308 | −$7,480 −56% | — |
| 743d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance78¢ → 100¢ | $2,942 | +$830 +28% | 10 | |
| 743d | 0x17586648425 | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance67¢ → 100¢ | $1,537 | −$747 −49% | — |
| 743d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellWalz30¢ → 0¢ | $2,834 | +$2,834 +100% | — | |
| 743d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellWalz30¢ → 0¢ | $1,101 | +$1,101 +100% | — | |
| 743d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance69¢ → 100¢ | $1,206 | −$534 −44% | — | |
| 743d | bigmoneyloser-163 | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellWalz25¢ → 0¢ | $1,673 | +$1,673 +100% | — |
| 743d | brrrrrrrrrrrr3 fills | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance63¢ → 100¢ | $4,524 | −$2,619 −58% | — |
| 743d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance73¢ → 100¢ | $4,243 | +$1,571 +37% | 10 | |
| 743d | Balls2theWalz | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance71¢ → 100¢ | $1,868 | +$763 +41% | 10 |
| 744d | luisqa | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellWalz29¢ → 0¢ | $1,268 | +$1,268 +100% | — |
| 744d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance66¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | +$1,012 +51% | 10 | |
| 744d | omarlittle | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance65¢ → 100¢ | $1,109 | −$597 −54% | — |
| 744d | duckduck | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance65¢ → 100¢ | $1,239 | −$667 −54% | — |
| 744d | pentakhil | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance65¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$808 +54% | 10 |
| 744d | KingaOtta2 fills | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance61¢ → 100¢ | $4,140 | −$2,681 −65% | — |
| 744d | BreadGet3 fills | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance60¢ → 100¢ | $19,310 | −$12,865 −67% | — |
| 744d | differencemaker | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance61¢ → 100¢ | $2,921 | −$1,898 −65% | — |
| 744d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance55¢ → 100¢ | $18,000 | +$14,755 +82% | 10 | |
| 745d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance49¢ → 100¢ | $12,789 | +$13,509 +106% | 11 | |
| 745d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance63¢ → 100¢ | $4,531 | +$2,676 +59% | 10 | |
| 745d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyWalz40¢ → 0¢ | $3,031 | −$3,031 −100% | 12 | |
| 745d | acentignar2 fills | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance65¢ → 100¢ | $6,090 | +$3,211 +53% | 10 |
| 745d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance65¢ → 100¢ | $2,597 | +$1,398 +54% | 10 | |
| 745d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SellVance63¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | −$614 −59% | — | |
| 745d | mmmpieee | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance65¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$700 +54% | 10 |
| 745d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyWalz34¢ → 0¢ | $6,835 | −$6,835 −100% | 16 |
Tim Walz and JD Vance are scheduled to participate in a debate hosted by CBS on October 1, 2024. This market will resolve to "Walz" if the first relevant opinion poll released by Ipsos after the debate indicates Tim Walz won this debate against JD Vance. This market will resolve to "Vance" if the first relevant opinion poll released by Ipsos after the debate indicates JD Vance won. If the results are tied, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve to whichever candidate has a higher percentage than the other for the question regarding who performed better in the debate, or who won the debate. Other portions of the poll will not be considered for this market. If this debate is cancelled, otherwise rescheduled, or does not take place by October 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the results of Ipsos first opinion poll over who won or performed better in the debate released after its conclusion. If Ipsos does not release a poll within a week of the debate (currently October 8, 11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve based on polling on the debate from Yougov. If Yougov also hasn't released a relevant poll within a week of the debate this market will resolve to "50-50".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.