Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October 31 | 0% | −4 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d | 5551ab2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,194 | +$27 +0.6% | 4 |
| 297d | December 31 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,758 | −$88 −5.0% | — | |
| 301d | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,399 | +$76 +5.5% | 4 | |
| 350d | Hans323 | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,875 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the jewels stolen from the Louvre’s Galerie d’Apollon are officially recovered by the listed date ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” A single item (e.g., one earring) will suffice; however, recovery of only a fragment or part of an item (for example, a loose stone or a piece of a crown) will not suffice The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Louvre or the French government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 0%.