Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +28 pts | +20 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 257d | FlyingPlaty | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,269 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 |
| 257d | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,838 | +$129 +0.6% | 10 | |
| 257d | 0xd268…5609 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,242 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 257d | Frightened-Heater | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election? | SellYes100¢ | $2,363 | −$12 −0.5% | — |
| 257d | JPLP | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 257d | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | −$136 −5.9% | — | |
| 257d | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,929 | +$432 +11% | 11 | |
| 257d | scrapbook | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election? | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | −$529 −51% | — |
| 257d | lava-lava2 fills | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election? | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $3,925 | +$1,672 +43% | 15 |
| 258d | 0x55A532599980c72d86ec302b601F431ef19b1385 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election? | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,466 | −$1,466 −100% | 11 |
| 258d | Untried-WetlandNew account | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election? | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 28 |
| 259d | 123skdskd82232 fills | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,041 | +$595 +20% | 14 |
| 259d | krownose | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election? | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 18 |
| 259d | Unhappy-Park | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election? | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $6,565 | +$1,764 +27% | 16 |
| 262d | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election? | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $2,137 | −$2,137 −100% | 15 | |
| 266d | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election? | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | +$380 +33% | 10 |
The 2026 Costa Rican general election is scheduled for February 1, 2026. The President of Costa Rica is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 40% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tribunal Supremo de Elecciones (https://www.tse.go.cr/index.html).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.