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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2025 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| March 31, 2026 | 100% | +6 pts | −24 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| December 31, 2026 | 100% | 0 pts | −1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208d | magonia | March 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,590 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 208d |  Cloverince | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,982 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d |  unpolete.Y.Fvalor | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | baojuhua | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $87,812 | +$88 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d |  notdegenanymor3 | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d |  hack-vc | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,346 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | kobie3 | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,045 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | 0XE04A5813b7043564654A776c9189F3AE527d094f | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,155 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | khalidakup | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,973 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 208d | seedah3 fills | March 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,074 | −$40 −0.4% | — |
| 208d |  MankPredict | December 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | degenpingg | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $34,288 | +$34 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | Alarmed-Riser | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | degenpingg | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,909 | +$24 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | kkdsj3 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,984 | +$16 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d |  maoziz | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,269 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | 2025-uuu | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,786 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | Redpacket | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 208d |  TTokin | December 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,464 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 208d | kkdsj | December 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,098 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 208d | seedah | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,493 | +$22 +0.2% | 2 |
| 208d | Offbeat-Nonconformist | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,587 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 |
| 208d | chriszyy3 | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $40,544 | +$41 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | CalvinJudson | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,329 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d |  afonsoo003 | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$22 +0.4% | 2 |
| 208d | lichenglicheng | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,439 | +$12 +0.8% | 2 |
| 208d | DaphneI | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,012 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | UlyssesBlume | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,880 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | CarolRoland | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,588 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | JerrySimon | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,294 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d |  shadow54 | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,225 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | 999999999 | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,984 | +$16 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | 39192 | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $32,967 | +$33 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | 45213331 | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,079 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | 79994 | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | 4521355 | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,079 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | TonyChenn2 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,505 | +$27 +0.2% | 2 |
| 208d | icandoit | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d |  criptotemplo | December 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,048 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 209d | tphhh9 fills | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $23,024 | +$131 +0.6% | 2 |
| 211d | mustery5 fills | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $18,597 | +$187 +1.0% | 2 |
| 213d |  mewmew1 | March 31, 2026 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 213d | mexicola | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,228 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 214d | RRR1234 | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,091 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 214d | Watchful-FloozieNew account | March 31, 2026 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,873 | −$18 −0.6% | — |
| 214d | Watchful-FloozieNew account | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,865 | +$25 +0.9% | 2 |
| 214d |  Cerco | December 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,157 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 214d |  YeaYeaYeaYeaYeaYea | March 31, 2026 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,599 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 214d | fresh777 | March 31, 2026 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 215d | Cerco | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 215d | gggg5 | March 31, 2026 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,531 | −$10 −0.6% | — |
| 215d |  cr1mean | March 31, 2026 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,778 | −$14 −0.8% | — |
| 216d | elphaea | March 31, 2026 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,858 | −$25 −0.9% | — |
| 217d | lcy444 | December 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,924 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | xx.eth | March 31, 2026 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,315 | −$76 −0.9% | — |
| 218d | hack-vc | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$10 +0.9% | 2 |
| 218d | Cerco3 fills | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,420 | +$65 +1.2% | 2 |
| 218d | lineburnXprions | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,074 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 218d | benbeams | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,141 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Backpack (https://x.com/Backpack) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Backpack, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for December 31, 2025 means the market gives it about 0%.