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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 804d | JishWa3 fills | Will Beirut airport close by August 5? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $10,417 | +$1,000 +9.6% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Beirut–Rafic Hariri International Airport is closed to all commercial flights for 12 or more consecutive hours at any point between July 29 and August 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any total closure of civilian air traffic during which no takeoffs or departures are permitted for at least 12 consecutive hours will result in this market resolving to "Yes", regardless of cause. If a closure begins within the market's timeframe, the market will remain open until the airport reopens or until 12 consecutive hours of closure are reached. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Lebanese government and statements released by the airport, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.