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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Canadian government or its administration officially announces that Canada will impose any new or increased tariffs on the United States by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially announced within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of if/when the tariff goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting the United States will qualify. For example, a tariff on North America or a global tariff (tariffs on all imports into Canada) will not count toward this market's resolution. Announcements that tariffs which were previously delayed will go into effect will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.