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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −16 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 526d |  MisTKy3 | Will Coinbase acquire Deribit for $5b or more? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,975 | +$17 +0.4% | 2 |
| 563d | Qyren | Will Coinbase acquire Deribit for $5b or more? | SellYes18¢ → 0¢ | $7,722 | +$7,722 +100% | — |
| 563d | 0x2066…80dc | Will Coinbase acquire Deribit for $5b or more? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $35,178 | +$7,722 +22% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Deribit will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Coinbase in a deal valued at $5 billion or more by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement by Deribit or Coinbase will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition or merger is ultimately completed, as long as the deal value is stated or credibly reported to be $5B or more. The deal value may include stock, cash, or a combination. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Deribit or Coinbase however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.