Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +12 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 666d | Congress passes funding bill before Trump inauguration? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,292 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 666d | Nobody23041 | Congress passes funding bill before Trump inauguration? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,638 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 666d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Congress passes funding bill before Trump inauguration? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,205 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 666d | Congress passes funding bill before Trump inauguration? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,970 | +$30 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 666d | Lopgft | Congress passes funding bill before Trump inauguration? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,169 | −$36 −3.1% | — |
| 666d | Nobody23041 | Congress passes funding bill before Trump inauguration? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | +$49 +4.2% | 4 |
| 666d | Lopgft | Congress passes funding bill before Trump inauguration? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,129 | +$47 +4.2% | 4 |
| 666d | Congress passes funding bill before Trump inauguration? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$134 +6.4% | 4 | |
| 666d | Congress passes funding bill before Trump inauguration? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,147 | +$260 +12% | 4 | |
| 667d | semi | Congress passes funding bill before Trump inauguration? | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $3,470 | +$983 +28% | 4 |
| 667d | birkenstocks | Congress passes funding bill before Trump inauguration? | BuyNo24¢ → 0¢ | $1,174 | −$1,174 −100% | 15 |
On December 18, Elon Musk tweeted "No bills should be passed Congress until Jan 20, when @realDonaldTrump takes office." You can read that tweet here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1869461048828522999 This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes any government funding bill between December 18, 2024, 2:00 PM ET, and January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The bill must actually pass the US house for it to count toward a "Yes" resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US Government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.