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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 564d | Ordon | Will DeepSeek be #1 model before April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 585d |  Justitia | Will DeepSeek be #1 model before April? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,982 | +$68 +3.4% | 4 |
| 625d |  Libitum | Will DeepSeek be #1 model before April? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$166 +15% | 4 |
| 630d |  ohwell | Will DeepSeek be #1 model before April? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$188 +18% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any DeepSeek model has the highest Arena Score on the lmarena.ai Leaderboard at any point between January 23 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable before this market's resolution date, another source will be chosen.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.