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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 760d |  50Whence2 fills | Will Diddy plead guilty to any charges? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,214 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
On September 16, P Diddy was arrested after being indicted by a grand jury (see https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/16/arts/music/sean-combs-diddy-indicted.html?smid=tw-nytimes&smtyp=cur). This market will resolve to "Yes" if P Diddy pleads guilty to any charges at his arraignment. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on his first pleas at the arraignment - subsequent pleas will not be considered. If the arraignment has not occurred by May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.