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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58% | +10 pts | +4 pts | 27¢ · 88¢ (61¢) | — | in 76d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count. If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 58¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 58%.