Polymarket · PoliticsClosed

Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on...?

Most traded: April 300%
24h volume: $0
Total volume: $4.43M
Outcomes: 14
Ends: Jul 4, 2024

Odds over time

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Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid · Ask	24h volume	Ends
April 30	0%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	—	ended
July 4	0%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	—	ended
May 31, 2023	0%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
July 31, 2023	0%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
September 30, 2023	0%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
November 30, 2023	0%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
January 31	0%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
March 1, 2022?	<1%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
May 1, 2022?	<1%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
July 1, 2022?	<1%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
September 1, 2022?	<1%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
November 1, 2022?	<1%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
January 6, 2023?	<1%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
March 1, 2023?	0%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended

Whale trades

$1,000 and up · latest

When	Trader	Outcome	Bet	Size	P&L now	Insider
837d	taut-dogwood	July 4	BuyNo>99¢	$8,528	+$9 +0.1%	4
839d	brat	July 4	SellNo99¢ → 100¢	$33,659	−$274 −0.8%	—
840d	brat	July 4	BuyNo>99¢	$33,899	+$34 +0.1%	4
900d	occasionalAwareness	April 30	BuyNo>99¢	$118,725	+$119 +0.1%	4
1043d	543735476	January 31	BuyNo100¢	$2,606	+$13 +0.5%	4
1089d	5437354762 fills	November 30, 2023	BuyNo>99¢	$26,432	+$93 +0.4%	4

Biggest holders: April 30 · Yes

banker50 shares
jkjkjkwe47 shares
nine9845 shares
petalsix36 shares

Biggest holders: April 30 · No

abce3,541 shares

How this market settles

This is a group market on whether Donald J. Trump will be the President of the United States on the dates listed.

Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for April 30 means the market gives it about 0%.

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