Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 442d | Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 449d | G122 | Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,967 | +$44 +2.2% | 4 |
| 457d | yyyyyyy | Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,994 | +$191 +6.4% | 4 |
| 467d | Folletin | Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,524 | +$309 +20% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly refers to Elon Musk using a new derogatory, mocking, or diminutive nickname (e.g., similar in style to “Ron DeSanctimonious” or “Sleepy Joe”) between July 1 and July 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The nickname must be distinct from Elon’s real name, and clearly intended as a moniker, not a one-off insult or generic descriptor (e.g., calling Elon "a loser" or "pathetic" alone would not qualify). Note: Trump referring to Elon as “the man who has lost his mind” as he did on June 6, will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.