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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wednesday | 100% | +91 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Friday | 100% | +89 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| July 4 | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 479d | 854A7843 | Friday | SellYes>99¢ | $2,323 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 479d | AreWeNotEntertained | Wednesday | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,048 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 479d |  Debosnys | Wednesday | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,547 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 479d |  gopfan2 | July 4 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,846 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 479d |  duderr | Wednesday | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,670 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 479d | 854A78432 fills | Friday | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,395 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 479d | operationcastle | Wednesday | SellYes>99¢ | $9,560 | −$19 −0.2% | — |
| 479d |  Funfzig6 fills | Wednesday | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $73,304 | +$784 +1.1% | 4 |
| 479d |  user-213094o | Wednesday | SellYes>99¢ | $3,374 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 479d | applesandbananas | Wednesday | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 479d |  BeneGesseritVoice | Wednesday | SellYes>99¢ | $3,445 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 479d | aviato | Wednesday | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 479d | gopfan22 fills | Wednesday | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,597 | +$18 +0.1% | 4 |
| 479d | gopfan2 | July 4 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,736 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 479d | 11122 | July 4 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 479d | volusia | Friday | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,409 | −$24 −0.7% | — |
| 479d | ro0k | Friday | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,634 | +$7 +0.4% | 4 |
| 479d | ro0k | July 4 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,763 | +$13 +0.3% | 4 |
| 479d | ro0k | Wednesday | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,260 | +$25 +0.4% | 4 |
| 479d |  RedBullZero | Wednesday | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | −$11 −0.9% | — |
| 479d |  lil-uzi-squirt | Wednesday | BuyYes100¢ | $1,791 | +$9 +0.5% | 4 |
| 479d | petrovic1914 | Wednesday | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | −$14 −0.9% | — |
| 479d | poptree | Wednesday | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,328 | −$103 −3.1% | — |
| 479d |  Euan | Friday | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | +$41 +3.6% | 5 |
| 479d | slight- | Wednesday | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,226 | +$195 +4.6% | 5 |
| 479d | BeneGesseritVoice | Wednesday | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,089 | +$215 +5.3% | 5 |
| 479d | poptree | Wednesday | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $4,421 | +$603 +14% | 7 |
| 479d | user-213094o2 fills | Friday | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $2,646 | +$2,313 +87% | 9 |
| 479d | operationcastle | Wednesday | BuyYes7¢ → 100¢ | $1,856 | +$25,389 +1368% | 17 |
| 479d | operationcastle | Friday | SellNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,491 | +$1,491 +100% | — |
| 480d |  aenews2 | Wednesday | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $2,663 | −$2,663 −100% | 5 |
This is a market predicting if either Andrew Cuomo or Zohran Mamdani will concede the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City election by the following dates.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Wednesday means the market gives it about 100%.