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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 537d |  elmcap2 | Will ETH hard fork before May? | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,806 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 539d | Destilated | Will ETH hard fork before May? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,190 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 558d | Cornycobb | Will ETH hard fork before May? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | −$15 −1.4% | — |
| 559d |  Aurorax | Will ETH hard fork before May? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$10 +1.0% | 2 |
| 562d | commeowder | Will ETH hard fork before May? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,718 | +$170 +9.9% | 2 |
| 575d |  Skip-Earthwax | Will ETH hard fork before May? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,625 | +$500 +19% | 2 |
| 576d | IamBack | Will ETH hard fork before May? | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | +$652 +63% | 2 |
| 591d | BlackPeopleDontRecycle | Will ETH hard fork before May? | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,419 | −$1,419 −100% | 2 |
BabyYoda125,046 sharesIf an Ethereum hard fork occurs between March 2 and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Ethereum blockchain, which can be explored here: https://etherscan.io
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.