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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
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balticbull4,061 sharesThis is a market on whether Ethereum ($ETH) will reach a price of $2000.00 or above between August 22, 2022, 9AM ET, and the moment of "The Merge". If $ETH reaches a price of $2000.00 or above after August 22, 2022, 9AM ET and before the first proof-of-stake block (defined in EIP-3675 as TRANSITION_BLOCK) is produced, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the first proof-of-stake block (defined in EIP-3675 as TRANSITION_BLOCK) is not generated before January 1, 2023, 12 AM ET, and $ETH has not reached a price of $2000.00 or above between August 22, 2022, 9 AM ET and that date, this market will resolve to 50-50. High ("H") prices of 30-minute candles on CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum) produced after August 22, 2022, 9 AM ET, and prior to the candle covering the 30 minute window during which the TRANSITION_BLOCK is produced, will be used toward the resolution of this market. The candle which covers the 30 minute window during which the TRANSITION_BLOCK (as defined by EIP-3675) is produced according to http://etherscan.com will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for Yes means the market gives it about <1%.