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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31, 2026 | 100% | 0 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| June 30, 2026 | 100% | 0 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| December 31, 2026 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| September 30, 2026 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 269d |  bjbjs2 fills | June 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,223 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 269d | bjbjs | March 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,435 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 269d | stealer | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,547 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 269d | bjbjs | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,659 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 269d | bjbjs2 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,900 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 269d | wangziyang2 | September 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,342 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 270d | HunterMook | March 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,415 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 270d | HunterMook | June 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,972 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 270d | GLHFLimited | March 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,500 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 270d | speculatingG | March 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,330 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 270d |  Crypto8bit | September 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,343 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 270d | Crypto8bit | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,175 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 270d | Crypto8bit | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,588 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 271d | adsfdgdsa | September 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,925 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 271d | dsfsd | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,050 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 271d | edge2 | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,625 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 271d | ghippo | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,046 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 271d |  voltzbeliever | September 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,651 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 271d | wangziyang2 | September 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,243 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 271d | PoliLife | September 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,771 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 271d | adsfdgdsa | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,921 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 271d |  moksel | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,642 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 271d | Ba8f | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,484 | +$16 +1.1% | 2 |
| 271d | Ba8f | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,325 | +$275 +3.0% | 2 |
| 275d | GLHFLimited | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,199 | +$311 +14% | 2 |
| 275d |  43dkl5r2 fills | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,889 | +$441 +15% | 2 |
| 277d | travaler | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,429 | +$337 +14% | 2 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if ETHGAS (https://x.com/ETHGasOfficial) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from ETHGAS, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for March 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 100%.