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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 100% | +6 pts | +29 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June 30 | 100% | +5 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 31 | 100% | +3 pts | +20 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 375d |  AgricultureSecretary | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,879 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 375d | AgricultureSecretary | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,655 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 375d | AgricultureSecretary | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,735 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 375d |  Frosen | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 377d |  wobo7 | December 31 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | +$163 +15% | 4 |
Stoicist2,000 shares
Landas16 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of the COMEX Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) reaches or exceeds $4,000.00 per troy ounce during regular trading hours at any point between September 24, and market close on December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be COMEX trading data for the Gold Continuous Contract (https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GCW00:COMEX).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 100%.