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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −76 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 464d |  UwO2 fills | Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,560 | +$109 +2.4% | 4 |
| 464d |  brodiaga | Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,775 | +$18 +1.0% | 4 |
| 465d |  PredictionYogi | Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday? | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | +$770 +59% | 4 |
On July 8, 2025, Grok's text replies were disabled after the bot began posting antisemitic and pro-Hitler content in response to user prompts, prompting xAI to restrict replies (see:https://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/us-news/what-does-mechahitler-mean-groks-posts-on-nazi-holocaust-sparks-outrage-x-responds-101752019861958.html) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official @Grok account on X (https://x.com/Grok) posts at least 100 qualifying text-based replies to user posts between July 8, 2025, at 10:00 PM ET and July 9, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, a reply must contain substantive text and must be a direct response to a user’s post (e.g., a reply to a mention or question directed at @Grok). Replies consisting solely of images, emojis, or other non-text content will not count. Replies that are generic, repetitive, or clearly pre-programmed will not qualify. Note: This market is intended to capture a meaningful and deliberate resumption of human-like engagement by Grok and will be resolved accordingly.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.