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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 30, 2026 | 100% | +3 pts | +36 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| June 30, 2026 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| May 31, 2026 | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| December 31, 2026 | 100% | — | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| March 31, 2026 | 0% | −1 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| September 30, 2026 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 170d | JackHarlow | April 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,585 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 170d | laughtale | April 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,821 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 170d | April 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,083 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 170d | tphhh5 fills | April 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $81,170 | +$103 +0.1% | 2 |
| 170d | April 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,418 | −$20 −0.3% | — | |
| 170d | Laurenman | April 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,175 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 170d | tphhh2 fills | May 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,721 | +$21 +0.1% | 2 |
| 170d | kobie3 | May 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,762 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 170d | April 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,994 | −$6 −0.2% | — | |
| 170d | April 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,799 | +$22 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 170d | kevin-airdrop | April 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,301 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 170d | DD1998 | April 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,014 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 170d | Wagmi420 | April 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,007 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 170d | April 30, 2026 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,589 | −$83 −3.2% | — | |
| 170d | kiviro3 fills | April 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,226 | +$60 +0.4% | 2 |
| 170d | seedah | April 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,500 | +$17 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | I-have-no-money-dont-win-against-me | April 30, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,941 | +$12 +0.6% | 2 |
| 170d | December 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,030 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 170d | tphhh5 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,057 | +$39 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | kobie3 | May 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,176 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 170d | Inexperienced-SentenceNew account | April 30, 2026 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,934 | −$86 −1.7% | — |
| 170d | niqqaping5 fills | May 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $32,217 | +$84 +0.3% | 2 |
| 170d | GironaNite | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 170d | April 30, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$35 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 170d | April 30, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$43 +1.4% | 2 | |
| 171d | Ba8f5 fills | April 30, 2026 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $36,330 | +$819 +2.3% | 2 |
| 171d | niqqaping5 fills | April 30, 2026 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $16,104 | +$1,168 +7.3% | 2 |
| 171d | OfferLifter | June 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,305 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 171d | tphhh2 fills | September 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,289 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 171d | April 30, 2026 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,497 | −$67 −2.7% | — | |
| 171d | April 30, 2026 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$64 +2.6% | 2 | |
| 171d | April 30, 2026 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | −$31 −2.9% | — | |
| 171d | April 30, 2026 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,069 | −$31 −2.9% | — | |
| 171d | sipcola | April 30, 2026 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,787 | +$50 +2.8% | 2 |
| 171d | fhjdkfs4 fills | April 30, 2026 | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $10,480 | −$10,429 −100% | — |
| 171d | mk83 | April 30, 2026 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,558 | −$42 −2.7% | — |
| 171d | LPmaster | April 30, 2026 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,148 | −$60 −2.8% | — |
| 171d | Exitliquid2069 | April 30, 2026 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,744 | −$233 −2.7% | — |
| 171d | April 30, 2026 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,609 | −$242 −3.7% | — | |
| 171d | September 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,596 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 171d | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,398 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 171d | aaa1aaa1 | April 30, 2026 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,594 | −$44 −2.7% | — |
| 171d | rettardio | April 30, 2026 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | −$30 −2.8% | — |
| 171d | April 30, 2026 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,645 | +$101 +2.8% | 2 | |
| 171d | April 30, 2026 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,464 | −$36 −2.5% | — | |
| 171d | drakedj2 fills | April 30, 2026 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $49,482 | +$3,377 +6.8% | 2 |
| 171d | horiz0n | April 30, 2026 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $33,974 | +$2,556 +7.5% | 2 |
| 172d | iiintttro | April 30, 2026 | SellNo8¢ → 0¢ | $1,662 | +$1,662 +100% | — |
| 172d | September 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,857 | −$4 −0.2% | — | |
| 172d | 0xTv | April 30, 2026 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$167 +8.3% | 2 |
| 172d | hitjnn214 | April 30, 2026 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,660 | +$310 +8.5% | 2 |
| 172d | niqqaping5 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $20,844 | +$178 +0.9% | 2 |
| 172d | niqqaping | September 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,005 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 172d | JackHarlow2 fills | April 30, 2026 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $19,845 | +$1,912 +9.6% | 2 |
| 172d | Ba8f7 fills | April 30, 2026 | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $22,748 | −$2,782 −12% | — |
| 172d | Hpp32 fills | April 30, 2026 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,680 | +$320 +8.7% | 2 |
| 172d | April 30, 2026 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $15,320 | +$1,532 +10% | 2 | |
| 172d | lexapro | April 30, 2026 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,532 | −$152 −9.9% | — |
| 172d | hahahahahha185 | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,593 | +$19 +1.2% | 2 |
| 172d | June 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,593 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if MegaETH officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for April 30, 2026 means the market gives it about 100%.