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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230d | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,265 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 236d | nitsangalon | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,566 | +$12 +0.7% | 20 |
| 291d | Pokadur | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,995 | +$338 +17% | 20 |
| 300d | Wowiwow | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,590 | +$409 +26% | 20 |
Donald Trump recently wrote a letter to Israeli President Isaac Herzog asking Herzog to Pardon Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/trump-asked-israeli-president-pardon-netanyahu-israeli-presidents-office-says-2025-11-12/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.