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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 488d | nativebd | Will OpenAI buy X before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,087 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 |
| 490d | rabbywithmeo | Will OpenAI buy X before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,175 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 490d | toufeng | Will OpenAI buy X before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,036 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 |
| 492d | danshiai | Will OpenAI buy X before July? | SellNo100¢ | $1,139 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 493d | mitraa | Will OpenAI buy X before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,619 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 494d | danshiai | Will OpenAI buy X before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,140 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 500d | mitraa | Will OpenAI buy X before July? | BuyNo100¢ | $3,014 | +$15 +0.5% | 4 |
| 533d | ep99999 | Will OpenAI buy X before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,494 | −$12 −0.8% | — |
| 556d | ep99999 | Will OpenAI buy X before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$6 +0.4% | 4 |
| 610d |  beigesun | Will OpenAI buy X before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,451 | +$50 +2.0% | 4 |
LaGGeZ38 sharesOn February 10, Sam Altman posted "no thank you but we will buy twitter for $9.74 billion if you want" (see: https://x.com/sama/status/1889059531625464090). This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that X (formerly Twitter) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with OpenAI by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A merger in which X subsumes/acquires OpenAI will not qualify. An formal announcement of an agreement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Elon Musk, OpenAI or X, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.