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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 17, 2026 | 0% | 0 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| February 28, 2026 | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| March 31, 2026 | 100% | −1 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| June 30, 2026 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| September 30, 2026 | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| December 31, 2026 | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 226d | Flancho2 fills | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,607 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 226d | Aljazur4 fills | March 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $36,142 | −$134 −0.4% | — |
| 226d | 0x0670…c68e | March 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,481 | −$11 −0.2% | — |
| 226d |  turbodi7el | March 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,083 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 226d | Xyu | December 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,518 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 226d | 1e32ewf | June 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,019 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | fbb0226 | March 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,407 | −$15 −0.2% | — |
| 227d | kgao2 | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,275 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 227d | Ready-Duckling | March 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,994 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 227d | udontknowanything | June 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | liamweber | March 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,227 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 227d | lontou | March 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,800 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 228d |  blgggggg | March 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $15,354 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 228d | mexicola4 fills | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,050 | +$58 +0.3% | 2 |
| 228d | jsiscdsa | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,771 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | Uptober-088 | December 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $15,125 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 228d | Yuder | December 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,485 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 228d | randomuser123467 | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,000 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | hawkj | June 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,497 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 228d | Male-Schoolhouse | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,425 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | dsffsdf | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,324 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | hfdggd | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,024 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d |  hulinali | March 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,301 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 228d | RerTe | December 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,888 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 228d | caoca | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,014 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | glsw | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,017 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | lcdoe | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,015 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | chaoza | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,022 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | heyind | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,011 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | pooilen | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,010 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | sisilo | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,014 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 228d | goigat | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,015 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 228d | godgivennow | September 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,063 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 228d | Overdue-Tram | March 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,183 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 229d |  shadow54 | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,226 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 229d | lcy444 | March 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,778 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 229d | tphhh4 fills | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $93,023 | +$138 +0.1% | 2 |
| 229d | Doius | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,076 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 229d | wwwwew | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,835 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 229d | Tuuza | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,138 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 229d | tphhh | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,047 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 229d | sushi100 | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,028 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 229d | zsn9 | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,160 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 229d | JerryY | March 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,463 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 229d | niubi12 | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 229d | luluivv | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,815 | +$15 +0.4% | 2 |
| 229d | lcy444 | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,774 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 229d |  mewmew1 | March 31, 2026 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,278 | −$30 −0.7% | — |
| 229d | blgggggg2 fills | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $15,291 | +$78 +0.5% | 2 |
| 229d | Stingy-Marxism | September 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,437 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 229d | sugertime | September 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,451 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 229d | jakcpual | September 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,834 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 229d | godgivennow | September 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,061 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 229d |  Xiaofeng001 | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,194 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 229d | sdrwwwee | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,728 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 229d | ghnfyj677 | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,322 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 229d | 87iyukyuk | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,091 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 229d | y6u67 | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,018 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 229d | humyui | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,282 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 229d | 1e32ewf | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,909 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
fwed332,359 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Opinion officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Opinion (https://x.com/opinionlabsxyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for February 17, 2026 means the market gives it about 0%.