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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 566d |  ScamWick | Will SBF launch a coin before April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,564 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 569d | Shirohige77 | Will SBF launch a coin before April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,035 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 590d | mitraa3 fills | Will SBF launch a coin before April? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,536 | +$184 +3.3% | 2 |
| 594d |  MotherTheresa | Will SBF launch a coin before April? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,648 | +$18 +1.1% | 2 |
| 596d | ForestElk4 fills | Will SBF launch a coin before April? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,236 | +$245 +2.7% | 2 |
| 596d | commeowder | Will SBF launch a coin before April? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,464 | −$51 −3.5% | — |
| 597d |  sorrybutimnotsorry2 fills | Will SBF launch a coin before April? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,014 | −$165 −4.1% | — |
| 597d | ForestElk | Will SBF launch a coin before April? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | −$23 −2.0% | — |
| 598d | sorrybutimnotsorry | Will SBF launch a coin before April? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,997 | +$182 +4.5% | 2 |
| 598d |  rc.05 | Will SBF launch a coin before April? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | +$90 +6.4% | 2 |
| 599d |  COVID-isTheNew-HUNTER-PARDON2 fills | Will SBF launch a coin before April? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,065 | −$345 −6.8% | — |
| 599d | COVID-isTheNew-HUNTER-PARDON | Will SBF launch a coin before April? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,256 | +$224 +5.3% | 2 |
| 599d |  Car | Will SBF launch a coin before April? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,256 | +$224 +5.3% | 2 |
| 599d |  Parz1vaI | Will SBF launch a coin before April? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | +$74 +6.4% | 2 |
Sam Bankman-Fried is tweeting again (https://x.com/SBF_FTX/status/1894204086754709951). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried officially launches a token between February 24 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Sam Bankman-Fried, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.