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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 382d | Will SBF launch a coin by September 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,531 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 382d | Will SBF launch a coin by September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,878 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 383d | Will SBF launch a coin by September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 384d | Will SBF launch a coin by September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,993 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 387d | ArtofWar1338 | Will SBF launch a coin by September 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,588 | +$10 +0.6% | 2 |
| 388d | Will SBF launch a coin by September 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,707 | +$29 +1.1% | 2 | |
| 388d | MariaLo | Will SBF launch a coin by September 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,993 | +$62 +3.1% | 2 |
Sam Bankman-Fried is tweeting again (https://x.com/SBF_FTX/status/1894204086754709951). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried officially launches a token by and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Sam Bankman-Fried, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.