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Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 13 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 15 | 100% | +28 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| September 19 | 100% | — | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| September 21 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| September 17 | 100% | +2 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33d | PiMaak | September 15 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | +$146 +14% | 6 |
| 34d |  aenews2 | September 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,196 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 35d | PiMaak3 fills | September 13 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $8,706 | +$1,539 +18% | 7 |
chessplayer1,017 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for September 13 means the market gives it about 0%.