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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 655d | Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,173 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 657d | Nahhhhhh2 fills | Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,806 | +$102 +2.1% | 4 |
| 659d | Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | −$22 −2.0% | — | |
| 665d | Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2024? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,708 | +$241 +14% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Gävle Goat, a traditional Christmas display erected annually in Gävle, Sweden, is set on fire by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. The fire must be confirmed by an official Gävle Goat social media account, the City of Gävle's official website, or a consensus of credible reporting. If the Gävle Goat is destroyed by other means, or otherwise remains unburned through this market's end date, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.