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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −12 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 527d | Willie555 | Will the next Pope be Black? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,989 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 527d | Allinno | Will the next Pope be Black? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,083 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 527d | empol | Will the next Pope be Black? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,004 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 527d |  snubbaluba | Will the next Pope be Black? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,114 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 527d | char15 | Will the next Pope be Black? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,060 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 527d | snubbaluba | Will the next Pope be Black? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$23 +2.1% | 4 |
| 527d | JRMOsp | Will the next Pope be Black? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,139 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 528d |  ondra123 | Will the next Pope be Black? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,238 | −$169 −14% | — |
| 529d | randomGuy2580 | Will the next Pope be Black? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | −$131 −12% | — |
| 530d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Will the next Pope be Black? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,157 | +$277 +8.8% | 4 |
| 531d | EscalateFund2 fills | Will the next Pope be Black? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $6,763 | +$903 +13% | 4 |
| 533d | Adishon | Will the next Pope be Black? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $3,315 | +$665 +20% | 4 |
| 533d | Bip-Bop | Will the next Pope be Black? | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $1,141 | −$1,141 −100% | 5 |
| 533d | BlackPeopleDontRecycle2 fills | Will the next Pope be Black? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,489 | +$576 +17% | 4 |
| 534d | mooseytunes02 fills | Will the next Pope be Black? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,838 | +$402 +14% | 4 |
| 537d | LIQUIDATED | Will the next Pope be Black? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$353 +18% | 4 |
| 544d | G1222 fills | Will the next Pope be Black? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,745 | +$436 +12% | 4 |
| 544d | HD8 | Will the next Pope be Black? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,768 | +$219 +12% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next individual elected as pope is widely and credibly identified as Black. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If no new pope is elected by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Catholic Church, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.