Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 19 | 0% | −49 pts | −83 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 18 | 0% | −1 pts | +6 pts | — · 67¢ | — | ended |
| September 16 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 15 | 100% | +22 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| September 14 | 100% | +14 pts | +54 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| September 17 | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for September 19 means the market gives it about 0%.