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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 39% | −9 pts | +10 pts | 14¢ · 63¢ (49¢) | $325 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 190d | dougandnan | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo75¢ → 62¢ | $1,066 | −$192 −18% | 6 |
| 215d | CarlosShields8022 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo69¢ → 62¢ | $1,034 | −$112 −11% | 7 |
| 224d | RandallBeasley2187 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo81¢ → 62¢ | $1,142 | −$275 −24% | 5 |
| 289d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,248 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 297d | drpeppa | Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,611 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 334d | jimbotronny | Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | +$24 +1.6% | 2 |
| 396d |  Nouveau | Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,798 | +$75 +4.2% | 2 |
| 422d | 025d | Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,554 | +$65 +4.2% | 2 |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDC marketcap is equal to or greater than 50% of USDT marketcap on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/usd-coin/historical_data#panel and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data. The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page for both USDC and USDT. This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 39¢ for December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 39%.