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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 18% | — | −1 pts | 10¢ · 25¢ (15¢) | — | in 76d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date. Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify. If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count. A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs. The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 18¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 18%.