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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +32 pts | +30 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 319d | alliswell | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,361 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 319d |  TeemuPukki4 fills | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $10,661 | +$2,092 +20% | 4 |
| 319d | Lean-Pelt | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,200 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 319d |  That.Black.Guy2 fills | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,888 | +$283 +5.8% | 4 |
| 319d | Dodor | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,940 | +$60 +1.0% | 4 |
| 319d | 854A78432 fills | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $3,050 | +$1,310 +43% | 4 |
| 322d |  thanksforyourmoneyG | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | SellNo29¢ → 0¢ | $5,423 | +$5,423 +100% | — |
| 322d |  x35602 fills | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $3,634 | −$3,634 −100% | 7 |
| 324d |  aenews24 fills | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $34,707 | +$19,586 +56% | 4 |
| 324d |  goodnightcrawler | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $3,293 | −$3,293 −100% | 6 |
| 325d | QuietOutcome | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyNo31¢ → 0¢ | $1,085 | −$1,085 −100% | 4 |
| 330d |  ciro26 fills | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $12,016 | −$12,016 −100% | 11 |
| 330d | aenews2 | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $3,629 | −$1,342 −37% | — |
| 331d | TeemuPukki | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $2,781 | −$1,025 −37% | — |
| 331d |  iForgor2 fills | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $2,368 | −$876 −37% | — |
| 331d |  loooki9 | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,946 | −$995 −34% | — |
| 332d | pantomime | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$783 +40% | 4 |
| 332d | Yorkshire1234 fills | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $5,326 | +$3,120 +59% | 4 |
| 333d | Marketpoll10 fills | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $20,674 | +$12,750 +62% | 4 |
| 333d | thanksforyourmoneyG6 fills | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $11,816 | −$11,816 −100% | 7 |
| 334d | puparia2 fills | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $2,962 | −$2,015 −68% | — |
| 339d |  deftker | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,830 | −$1,170 −64% | — |
| 339d | kcnyekchno | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | SellYes62¢ → 100¢ | $2,293 | −$1,396 −61% | — |
| 341d | Kapii6 fills | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $14,605 | −$14,605 −100% | 10 |
| 341d | InsiderrrZ4 fills | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $7,184 | −$7,184 −100% | 9 |
| 341d | 854A7843 | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $1,409 | −$1,409 −100% | 5 |
| 343d |  uncleroger | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyNo42¢ → 0¢ | $1,969 | −$1,969 −100% | 5 |
| 343d | standagain | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 344d | jaja50502 fills | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $2,459 | −$2,459 −100% | 6 |
| 344d | loooki9 | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 5 |
| 344d | loooki9 | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$924 +46% | 4 |
| 345d |  LadyLuck2 fills | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $2,472 | −$2,472 −100% | 6 |
| 345d | kcnyekchno | Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $2,114 | +$1,603 +76% | 4 |
ciro270,308 sharesgoodnightcrawler10,328 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 New York City mayoral general election is greater than 9%. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Mamdani’s certified vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results. This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.
