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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10%+ | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <2% | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2-4% | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4-6% | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 6-8% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 8-10% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 519d | operationcastle3 fills | 10%+ | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,998 | −$143 −1.0% | — |
| 526d | VvVv | 10%+ | SellYes100¢ | $1,092 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 528d |  ScarletRot | 10%+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,055 | +$200 +1.4% | 20 |
| 532d | curie | 8-10% | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,945 | −$50 −1.0% | — |
| 541d |  ScamWick | 10%+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,490 | +$20 +1.3% | 20 |
| 552d | ScamWick | 8-10% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | +$12 +0.9% | 20 |
| 553d | ScamWick | 6-8% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,798 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 554d |  d1k21 | 2-4% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 555d | wokerjoesleeper | 10%+ | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | −$19 −1.5% | — |
| 560d | InsiderrrZ | 10%+ | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,559 | −$98 −2.1% | — |
| 563d | WhitSterling | 10%+ | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,447 | −$37 −1.5% | — |
| 563d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA2 fills | 10%+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,645 | +$37 +0.8% | 20 |
| 563d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | 8-10% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 563d |  Eridpnc2 fills | 10%+ | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $2,335 | +$2,208 +95% | 20 |
| 563d | Eridpnc2 fills | 8-10% | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $4,377 | +$4,019 +92% | 20 |
| 563d | DelightfulDelights3 fills | 10%+ | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $32,896 | −$4,024 −12% | — |
| 563d | Kapii | 10%+ | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,805 | −$136 −7.5% | — |
| 563d | DelightfulDelights | 8-10% | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $2,932 | −$2,932 −100% | 25 |
| 563d | russell110320 | 10%+ | SellNo16¢ → 0¢ | $2,364 | +$2,364 +100% | — |
| 563d | cigarettes | 8-10% | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $3,474 | +$2,516 +72% | 20 |
| 563d | poptree | 10%+ | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $3,534 | +$2,456 +69% | 20 |
| 563d | InsiderrrZ | 10%+ | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $3,953 | +$2,886 +73% | 20 |
| 563d | d1k21 | 6-8% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,547 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 563d | Eridpnc4 fills | 10%+ | BuyNo83¢ → 0¢ | $11,249 | −$11,249 −100% | 20 |
| 563d | 828 | 10%+ | BuyNo83¢ → 0¢ | $2,024 | −$2,024 −100% | 20 |
| 563d |  RiseAndSunny2 fills | 10%+ | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $2,616 | −$2,616 −100% | 20 |
| 563d | Melody626 | 10%+ | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $1,353 | −$1,353 −100% | 20 |
| 563d | mep | 10%+ | BuyYes34¢ → 100¢ | $1,699 | +$3,301 +194% | 22 |
| 563d |  mrworldwide | 8-10% | SellYes76¢ → 0¢ | $1,479 | +$1,479 +100% | — |
| 563d | curie | 6-8% | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,570 | +$116 +7.4% | 20 |
| 563d |  Original-Zyn | 10%+ | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $5,745 | −$5,745 −100% | 20 |
| 563d | ScamWick | 2-4% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,368 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 563d | ScamWick | <2% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,068 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 563d | DelightfulDelights5 fills | 10%+ | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $9,381 | +$14,107 +150% | 24 |
| 563d | BowlOfPunch | 10%+ | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $2,221 | −$1,817 −82% | — |
| 563d | Original-Zyn | 10%+ | SellYes53¢ → 100¢ | $1,961 | −$1,739 −89% | — |
| 563d | Original-Zyn | 10%+ | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,686 | +$1,124 +67% | 20 |
| 563d |  AiBets | 10%+ | SellYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,228 | −$926 −75% | — |
| 563d | rbczz2 fills | 10%+ | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $3,659 | +$2,765 +76% | 20 |
| 563d |  GayPride | 10%+ | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$755 +69% | 20 |
| 563d | GayPride | 10%+ | SellNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,125 | +$1,125 +100% | — |
| 563d |  TradeDeficitArchitect | 10%+ | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$800 +67% | 20 |
| 563d |  Parz1vaI | <2% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,207 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 563d |  syncope | 10%+ | SellNo66¢ → 0¢ | $3,233 | +$3,233 +100% | — |
| 563d |  gopfan2 | 10%+ | BuyYes27¢ → 100¢ | $1,701 | +$4,598 +270% | 22 |
| 563d | TradeDeficitArchitect | 10%+ | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 20 |
| 563d | rbczz | 10%+ | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $3,164 | −$3,164 −100% | 20 |
| 563d | syncope | 10%+ | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $3,350 | −$3,350 −100% | 20 |
| 563d | operationcastle | 10%+ | BuyYes18¢ → 100¢ | $2,046 | +$9,169 +448% | 24 |
| 563d |  KimJonEn2 fills | 10%+ | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $3,480 | −$3,480 −100% | 20 |
| 563d | russell110320 | 10%+ | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $13,224 | −$13,224 −100% | 20 |
| 563d | kaj43 | <2% | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $3,179 | +$711 +22% | 20 |
| 563d | BowlOfPunch | 10%+ | BuyYes16¢ → 100¢ | $1,551 | +$8,144 +525% | 23 |
| 563d | Thalwen | 4-6% | SellYes18¢ → 0¢ | $11,907 | +$11,907 +100% | — |
| 564d |  mr.ozi | 10%+ | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $1,619 | −$1,619 −100% | 20 |
| 564d | Astrielle | 4-6% | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $54,243 | +$11,907 +22% | 20 |
| 564d | Eridpnc | 4-6% | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $1,029 | −$1,029 −100% | 20 |
Susan Crawford and Brad Schimel are running for a 10-year term on the Wisconsin Supreme Court on April 1, 2025. This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory for Susan Crawford. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Susan Crawford and the candidate that receives second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two candidates receive by the sum of all votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If Susan Crawford does not win the most votes, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Wisconsin has certified the vote for this race. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 10%+ means the market gives it about 100%.