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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Round of 32 | 100% | +16 pts | +25 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Group Stage | 0% | −32 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Round of 16 | 0% | −15 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Quarterfinals | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Semifinals | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Final | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Champion | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107d | S2026 | Round of 32 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,690 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 107d | S2026 | Round of 32 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,193 | +$227 +19% | 4 |
| 112d |  ColdW | Round of 32 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | +$284 +25% | 4 |
| 114d | FlyingPlaty | Group Stage | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,622 | +$11 +0.3% | 4 |
| 123d | sweetj | Group Stage | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$534 +47% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Bosnia & Herzegovina is eliminated. If Bosnia & Herzegovina wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Bosnia & Herzegovina is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Bosnia & Herzegovina based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Round of 32 means the market gives it about 100%.