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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 0% | −59 pts | −54 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Uzbekistan | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Argentina | 100% | +54 pts | +59 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mexico | 0% | −9 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| England | 0% | −54 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norway | 0% | −16 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iraq | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Portugal | 0% | −12 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| USA | 0% | −7 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Morocco | 0% | −8 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spain | 100% | +59 pts | +63 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Iran | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Switzerland | 0% | −7 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| New Zealand | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Scotland | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Colombia | 0% | −11 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Belgium | 0% | −5 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Egypt | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cape Verde | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan | 0% | −3 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brazil | 0% | −18 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paraguay | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Germany | 0% | −8 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sweden | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Netherlands | 0% | −12 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Canada | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Turkiye | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Croatia | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ecuador | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Algeria | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Senegal | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Uruguay | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ivory Coast | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Australia | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Austria | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| DR Congo | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| South Korea | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| South Africa | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ghana | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Czechia | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Saudi Arabia | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Qatar | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Curacao | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jordan | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tunisia | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Panama | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Haiti | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93d | Vibrant-Lifestyle | Argentina | SellYes>99¢ | $1,371 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 93d | Benxoxo | Argentina | SellYes>99¢ | $2,093 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 93d | 0x8c05…71cd | Argentina | SellYes>99¢ | $1,083 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 93d | 0xa5dd…aab9 | Argentina | SellYes>99¢ | $30,060 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 93d | AC101098 | Argentina | SellYes>99¢ | $1,052 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 93d | neutralwave23 | Argentina | SellYes>99¢ | $5,439 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 93d |  alpheclabs | Argentina | SellYes>99¢ | $7,406 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 93d | MexicanHuey | England | SellNo>99¢ | $2,241 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 93d | Perky-Nature-Screenwriting | Argentina | SellYes>99¢ | $1,069 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 93d | 0x000c…bcf32 fills | Argentina | SellYes>99¢ | $14,869 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 93d | 999ssf | Argentina | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 93d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | Argentina | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,283 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 93d | 999ssf | Argentina | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | +$100 +2.0% | 4 |
| 93d | uptime07242 fills | Argentina | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,877 | +$243 +2.7% | 4 |
| 93d | Laddy5 | Argentina | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | −$105 −10.0% | — |
| 93d |  TheSwedishWolf | Argentina | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,315 | −$112 −8.5% | — |
| 93d | TheSwedishWolf | England | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,361 | −$84 −6.2% | — |
| 93d | vkvkgjerkgk | England | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$147 +14% | 5 |
| 93d | MenacingTurtle | England | SellYes75¢ → 0¢ | $12,170 | +$12,170 +100% | — |
| 93d | uptime07242 fills | England | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $6,759 | −$6,759 −100% | 6 |
| 93d | blkmont | England | BuyYes56¢ → 0¢ | $1,456 | −$1,456 −100% | 6 |
| 93d | MenacingTurtle | England | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $9,750 | −$9,750 −100% | 6 |
| 93d |  SapSalGae | England | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $3,540 | −$3,540 −100% | 6 |
| 93d | 0x98c2…f85d | Argentina | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$1,188 +94% | 6 |
| 93d | amirio11 | England | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $2,700 | −$2,700 −100% | 6 |
| 93d | garamvadapav3 | England | SellYes53¢ → 0¢ | $1,087 | +$1,087 +100% | — |
| 93d | bysittingnottrading3 fills | England | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $6,201 | −$6,201 −100% | 6 |
| 93d | 0x000c…bcf34 fills | England | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $16,350 | −$16,350 −100% | 6 |
| 93d | 0xc5ed…ee18 | Argentina | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$5,707 +114% | 6 |
| 93d | 0x000c…bcf33 fills | Argentina | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $7,808 | +$8,698 +111% | 4 |
| 94d |  MONARCA-DE-LOS-MARES | Argentina | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $6,878 | −$6,878 −100% | 6 |
| 94d |  Cointraders | Argentina | SellNo53¢ → 0¢ | $2,515 | +$2,515 +100% | — |
| 94d | mintracks3 fills | Argentina | SellYes46¢ → 100¢ | $4,337 | −$5,151 −119% | — |
| 94d | zhaoyk | England | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $2,340 | −$2,340 −100% | 6 |
| 94d | sldwa | Argentina | SellNo53¢ → 0¢ | $1,044 | +$1,044 +100% | — |
| 94d | MexicanHuey | England | BuyNo46¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,348 +117% | 6 |
| 94d | neutralwave23 | Argentina | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $2,546 | +$2,899 +114% | 6 |
| 94d | mintracks4 fills | Argentina | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $9,310 | +$11,206 +120% | 4 |
| 94d | purplegatto | England | BuyNo46¢ → 100¢ | $4,921 | +$5,776 +117% | 6 |
| 94d |  pmrev | England | SellYes54¢ → 0¢ | $5,007 | +$5,007 +100% | — |
| 94d | Mattysull1996 | Spain | SellYes>99¢ | $1,065 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 94d | omoi0i0 | France | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,424 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 94d |  rooteee | Argentina | SellYes46¢ → 100¢ | $2,139 | −$2,521 −118% | — |
| 94d | Mist100 | Spain | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,077 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 94d | 0xfeef…4b1f | Spain | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | −$53 −5.1% | — |
| 94d | Cool-Deadline | France | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$24 +2.2% | 4 |
| 94d | Wonderful-Patio2 fills | France | SellNo59¢ → 100¢ | $7,318 | −$5,141 −70% | — |
| 94d | Esteemed-School | Spain | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,285 | −$154 −12% | — |
| 94d | Grounded-Capitalism2 fills | Spain | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,489 | +$445 +9.9% | 5 |
| 94d | Wonderful-Patio | Spain | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $5,379 | −$2,681 −50% | — |
| 94d | Wonderful-Patio2 fills | France | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $6,096 | +$2,152 +35% | 6 |
| 94d | Wonderful-Patio2 fills | Spain | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,214 | +$468 +21% | 5 |
| 94d | uptime0724 | Spain | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,262 | +$84 +6.7% | 4 |
| 94d | lovedudley | France | SellYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,719 | +$1,719 +100% | — |
| 94d |  JustADonk | France | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $2,262 | +$1,273 +56% | 6 |
| 94d | suntori | Spain | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $8,832 | +$2,530 +29% | 5 |
| 94d | timetowander2 fills | Argentina | SellNo54¢ → 0¢ | $2,539 | +$2,539 +100% | — |
| 94d | Alekseydubai | France | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $1,799 | −$1,799 −100% | 6 |
| 94d | Alekseydubai | Spain | SellYes43¢ → 100¢ | $1,894 | −$2,547 −134% | — |
| 94d | uptime0724 | France | BuyNo44¢ → 100¢ | $1,886 | +$2,367 +126% | 6 |
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for France means the market gives it about 0%.