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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >$7b | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| <$4b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $4-5b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $5-6b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $6-7b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 920d | professorx | $6-7b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,399 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 920d | >$7b | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,496 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 937d | 123@# | >$7b | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$280 +23% | 2 |
| 969d | food | $4-5b | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$104 +9.9% | 2 |
| 969d | food | <$4b | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,311 | +$99 +7.5% | 2 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >$7b means the market gives it about 100%.